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The SC2K5 SFF-Adjusted Extrapolated Standings

Fri, 29 Sep 2006 23:37:45 -0400

About the SFF-Adjusted SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

The follwing adjustments were made:

Samus: +20% (Mario)
Ness: +38.16% (Mario)
Yoshi: +17.16% (Mega Man)
Pac-Man: +41.37% (Yoshi)

A +20% adjust for Samus was used because it seems sensible, and optimal when looking at Samus, Ganon, and Auron. A +20% adjustment is also very similar to giving Samus the average value of Mario and Crono.

For the sake of simplicity, Ness was given his 2K4 value (which affects Carl Johnson).

Yoshi was adjusted by keeping Laharl constant with his SC2K4 value.

The SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

Mon, 26 Sep 2005 02:06:52 -0400

Notes on the SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

The Base Link values were obtained by doing least squares computations comparing character strengths from SC2K4 to SC2K5.

A least squares that included the following characters (which I selected as the most logical to use):
Crono, Mega Man, Sonic, Zero, Ryu, Vivi, Kefka, Solid Snake, Sora, Alucard

Resulted in an optimal scalar of 1.102384. This scalar ends up being very similar to keeping Kefka, Crono, Mega Man, Cloud, or Vivi constant.

If you use the characters above but exclude Sora and Alucard, you get an optimal scalar of 1.075213. This ends up essentially being the same thing as keeping Link constant (from 2K4 to 2K5).

Match updates for SC2K5

Fri, 01 Jul 2005 03:48:46 -0400

[Graphs: A=Cumulative %, B=% Per Update, C=Overlapping]

PollID	Graph	Entrant 1	Entrant 2
2131	A / B / C	Link	Sephiroth
2130	A / B / C	Sephiroth	Mario
2129	A / B / C	Link	Cloud Strife
2128	A / B / C	Mario	Crono
2127	A / B / C	Crono	Mega Man
2126	A / B / C	Mario	Solid Snake
2125	A / B / C	Sonic the Hedgehog	Mega Man
2124	A / B / C	Crono	Vincent Valentine
2123	A / B / C	Solid Snake	Bowser
2122	A / B / C	Mario	Samus Aran
2121	A / B / C	Mega Man	Yoshi
2120	A / B / C	Sonic the Hedgehog	Tifa Lockheart
2119	A / B / C	Vincent Valentine	Squall Leonhart
2118	A / B / C	Master Chief	Crono
2117	A / B / C	Kirby	Bowser
2116	A / B / C	Solid Snake	Sora
2115	A / B / C	Samus Aran	Ganondorf
2114	A / B / C	Mario	Zero
2113	A / B / C	Yoshi	Pac-Man
2112	A / B / C	Mega Man	Leon Kennedy
2111	A / B / C	Tifa Lockheart	Luigi
2110	A / B / C	Sonic the Hedgehog	Diablo
2109	A / B / C	Knuckles the Echidna	Squall Leonhart
2108	A / B / C	Dante	Vincent Valentine
2107	A / B / C	Tommy Vercetti	Crono
2106	A / B / C	Master Chief	Donkey Kong
2105	A / B / C	Bowser	Ryu
2104	A / B / C	Kirby	Tidus
2103	A / B / C	Alucard	Sora
2102	A / B / C	Solid Snake	Zelda
2101	A / B / C	Ganondorf	Auron
2100	A / B / C	Samus Aran	Frog
2099	A / B / C	Zero	Lloyd Irving
2098	A / B / C	Mario	Ness
2097	A / B / C	Revolver Ocelot	Pac-Man
2096	A / B / C	Yoshi	Laharl
2095	A / B / C	Gordon Freeman	Leon Kennedy
2094	A / B / C	Mega Man	Conker
2093	A / B / C	Luigi	KOS-MOS
2092	A / B / C	Tifa Lockheart	Vyse
2091	A / B / C	Kratos Auron	Diablo
2090	A / B / C	Sonic the Hedgehog	Jin Kazama
2089	A / B / C	Squall Leonhart	Geno
2088	A / B / C	Magus	Knuckles the Echidna
2087	A / B / C	Sarah Kerrigan	Vincent Valentine
2086	A / B / C	Dante	Terra
2085	A / B / C	Crono	Zidane
2084	A / B / C	Kefka	Tommy Vercetti
2083	A / B / C	Donkey Kong	Sam Fisher
2082	A / B / C	Master Chief	CATS
2081	A / B / C	Ryu	Rikku
2080	A / B / C	Bowser	Chun Li
2079	A / B / C	Tidus	King of All Cosmos
2078	A / B / C	Kirby	Cecil
2077	A / B / C	Sora	Agent 47
2076	A / B / C	Kratos	Alucard
2075	A / B / C	Vivi	Zelda
2074	A / B / C	Solid Snake	Manny Calavera
2073	A / B / C	Auron	Big Boss
2072	A / B / C	Ganondorf	Yuna
2071	A / B / C	Riku	Frog
2070	A / B / C	Samus Aran	Yuri Hyuga
2069	A / B / C	Lloyd Irving	Albert Wesker
2068	A / B / C	Zero	Ryu Hayabusa
2067	A / B / C	Ness	Carl Johnson
2066	A / B / C	Mario	Joanna Dark

SC2K5 Matches

Wed, 20 Jul 2005 23:03:06 -0400

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Rank	Poll ID	Match #	Winner's Seed	Winner	Winner's Votes	Winner's Percent	Loser's Seed	Loser	Loser's Votes	Loser's Percent	Total Votes	Vote Difference	Percent Difference
1	2131	66	1	Link	65397	54.94%	1	Sephiroth	53628	45.06%	119025	11769	9.89%
2	2130	65	1	Sephiroth	64570	56.07%	1	Mario	50598	43.93%	115168	13972	12.13%
3	2129	64	1	Link	62541	52.44%	1	Cloud Strife	56724	47.56%	119265	5817	4.88%
4	2128	63	1	Mario	55739	53.85%	2	Crono	47762	46.15%	103501	7977	7.71%
5	2127	62	2	Crono	53283	51.35%	1	Mega Man	50479	48.65%	103762	2804	2.70%
6	2126	61	1	Mario	59463	57.21%	1	Solid Snake	44483	42.79%	103946	14980	14.41%
7	2125	60	1	Mega Man	49841	50.37%	1	Sonic the Hedgehog	49099	49.63%	98940	742	0.75%
8	2124	59	2	Crono	52814	55.38%	5	Vincent Valentine	42546	44.62%	95360	10268	10.77%
9	2123	58	1	Solid Snake	51387	50.59%	3	Bowser	50191	49.41%	101578	1196	1.18%
10	2122	57	1	Mario	58304	59.79%	1	Samus	39215	40.21%	97519	19089	19.57%
11	2121	56	1	Mega Man	63395	68.08%	3	Yoshi	29719	31.92%	93114	33676	36.17%
12	2120	55	1	Sonic the Hedgehog	59703	56.40%	3	Tifa Lockheart	46155	43.60%	105858	13548	12.80%
13	2119	54	5	Vincent Valentine	49446	50.59%	2	Squall Leonhart	48297	49.41%	97743	1149	1.18%
14	2118	53	2	Crono	60203	61.29%	1	Master Chief	38028	38.71%	98231	22175	22.57%
15	2117	52	3	Bowser	43392	52.12%	1	Kirby	39857	47.88%	83249	3535	4.25%
16	2116	51	1	Solid Snake	63664	65.26%	2	Sora	33887	34.74%	97551	29777	30.52%
17	2115	50	1	Samus	53776	59.66%	3	Ganondorf	36363	40.34%	90139	17413	19.32%
18	2114	49	1	Mario	67452	62.86%	3	Zero	39856	37.14%	107308	27596	25.72%
19	2113	48	3	Yoshi	61377	72.83%	7	Pac-Man	22893	27.17%	84270	38484	45.67%
20	2112	47	1	Mega Man	60391	64.56%	5	Leon Kennedy	33154	35.44%	93545	27237	29.12%
21	2111	46	3	Tifa Lockheart	54588	53.36%	2	Luigi	47705	46.64%	102293	6883	6.73%
22	2110	45	1	Sonic the Hedgehog	63104	68.55%	5	Diablo	28954	31.45%	92058	34150	37.10%
23	2109	44	2	Squall Leonhart	53310	53.80%	6	Knuckles the Echidna	45780	46.20%	99090	7530	7.60%
24	2108	43	5	Vincent Valentine	53882	54.00%	1	Dante	45893	46.00%	99775	7989	8.01%
25	2107	42	2	Crono	70921	70.85%	6	Tommy Vercetti	29182	29.15%	100103	41739	41.70%
26	2106	41	1	Master Chief	50165	50.79%	4	Donkey Kong	48597	49.21%	98762	1568	1.59%
27	2105	40	3	Bowser	53964	58.98%	2	Ryu	37536	41.02%	91500	16428	17.95%
28	2104	39	1	Kirby	58825	57.65%	4	Tidus	43215	42.35%	102040	15610	15.30%
29	2103	38	2	Sora	53320	55.36%	6	Alucard	43002	44.64%	96322	10318	10.71%
30	2102	37	1	Solid Snake	58421	54.41%	5	Zelda	48941	45.59%	107362	9480	8.83%
31	2101	36	3	Ganondorf	53655	54.10%	2	Auron	45514	45.90%	99169	8141	8.21%
32	2100	35	1	Samus	68106	70.05%	5	Frog	29112	29.95%	97218	38994	40.11%
33	2099	34	3	Zero	65557	73.25%	2	Lloyd Irving	23938	26.75%	89495	41619	46.50%
34	2098	33	1	Mario	75566	82.80%	4	Ness	15696	17.20%	91262	59870	65.60%
35	2097	32	7	Pac-Man	46343	51.25%	2	Revolver Ocelot	44075	48.75%	90418	2268	2.51%
36	2096	31	3	Yoshi	72563	73.66%	6	Laharl	25949	26.34%	98512	46614	47.32%
37	2095	30	5	Leon Kennedy	54875	58.57%	4	Gordon Freeman	38810	41.43%	93685	16065	17.15%
38	2094	29	1	Mega Man	75807	76.02%	8	Conker	23913	23.98%	99720	51894	52.04%
39	2093	28	2	Luigi	70232	66.00%	7	KOS-MOS	36187	34.00%	106419	34045	31.99%
40	2092	27	3	Tifa Lockheart	75159	78.07%	6	Vyse	21114	21.93%	96273	54045	56.14%
41	2091	26	5	Diablo	48783	56.76%	4	Kratos Aurion	37162	43.24%	85945	11621	13.52%
42	2090	25	1	Sonic the Hedgehog	69317	76.15%	8	Jin Kazama	21715	23.85%	91032	47602	52.29%
43	2089	24	2	Squall Leonhart	74412	74.84%	7	Geno	25022	25.16%	99434	49390	49.67%
44	2088	23	6	Knuckles the Echidna	51909	50.86%	3	Magus	50153	49.14%	102062	1756	1.72%
45	2087	22	5	Vincent Valentine	79200	79.00%	4	Sarah Kerrigan	21058	21.00%	100258	58142	57.99%
46	2086	21	1	Dante	69379	71.50%	8	Terra	27652	28.50%	97031	41727	43.00%
47	2085	20	2	Crono	74580	76.72%	7	Zidane	22636	23.28%	97216	51944	53.43%
48	2084	19	6	Tommy Vercetti	50165	51.14%	3	Kefka	47920	48.86%	98085	2245	2.29%
49	2083	18	4	Donkey Kong	56433	64.76%	5	Sam Fisher	30708	35.24%	87141	25725	29.52%
50	2082	17	1	Master Chief	65022	68.83%	8	CATS	29446	31.17%	94468	35576	37.66%
51	2081	16	2	Ryu	59210	55.72%	7	Rikku	47054	44.28%	106264	12156	11.44%
52	2080	15	3	Bowser	66227	65.90%	6	Chun Li	34269	34.10%	100496	31958	31.80%
53	2079	14	4	Tidus	73408	72.54%	5	King of all Cosmos	27787	27.46%	101195	45621	45.08%
54	2078	13	1	Kirby	67556	75.21%	8	Cecil	22267	24.79%	89823	45289	50.42%
55	2077	12	2	Sora	62348	70.73%	7	Agent 47	25796	29.27%	88144	36552	41.47%
56	2076	11	6	Alucard	50482	55.52%	3	Kratos	40446	44.48%	90928	10036	11.04%
57	2075	10	5	Zelda	62347	59.56%	4	Vivi	42324	40.44%	104671	20023	19.13%
58	2074	9	1	Solid Snake	77063	84.09%	8	Manny Calavera	14576	15.91%	91639	62487	68.19%
59	2073	8	2	Auron	67639	71.47%	7	Big Boss	27000	28.53%	94639	40639	42.94%
60	2072	7	3	Ganondorf	65476	61.20%	6	Yuna	41503	38.80%	106979	23973	22.41%
61	2071	6	5	Frog	48604	51.67%	4	Riku	45455	48.33%	94059	3149	3.35%
62	2070	5	1	Samus	74493	87.32%	8	Yuri	10813	12.68%	85306	63680	74.65%
63	2069	4	2	Lloyd Irving	46373	54.69%	7	Albert Wesker	38421	45.31%	84794	7952	9.38%
64	2068	3	3	Zero	57507	63.00%	6	Ryu Hayabusa	33771	37.00%	91278	23736	26.00%
65	2067	2	4	Ness	54881	55.14%	5	Carl Johnson	44644	44.86%	99525	10237	10.29%
66	2066	1	1	Mario	80135	80.90%	8	Joanna Dark	18918	19.10%	99053	61217	61.80%

NOTES:
* - Bracket Prediction numbers are estimates based on the numbers found on the "Correct Picks by Battle" percentages found on the Contest Statistics page, and the number of entries for each contest. These estimates could be off by +/- 10 brackets. Based on 16,764 brackets for SC2K2, 41,059 brackets in Summer 2K3, 40,940 in Spring 2K4, 33,221 in Summer 2K4, 24,748 in Spring 2K5, 33,793 in Summer 2K5, 46,198 in Summer 2K6, 42,646 in Fall 2K6.
1 - Original site layout
2 - Original site layout, sponsored poll displacing contest poll
3 - Xenogears vs. Pokemon match: repeated due to voting bug
4 - Kingdom Hearts vs. Soul Calibur match: Site layout switched around noon during this match
5 - Vice City vs. Knights of the Old Republic match: two-day match
6 - Match was 15 minutes short - delayed start
7 - Match was roughly 30 minutes short - site downtime from after 10:05pm to before 10:35pm EST
8 - Match was 25 hours due to Dalight Savings Time

Summer Contest 2005

Tue, 04 Jul 2006 03:23:15 -0400

The SC2K5 bracket
The SC2K5 characters page

See some excellent user created match pictures for SC2K5 at gamefaqsascii.com