The Character Battle V Extrapolated Standings

Notes on the SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

The most evident issue with these standings is the overrating of the Limit Division due to Samus' underperformance against Tifa, caused by the match picture. Adjusting the division down based on Tifa being at 44% on Samus (a somewhat arbitrary ballpark estimate) results in the following values for Limit Division:

Seed Character Expected % Against Samus
1 Tifa Lockhart 44.00%
2 Princess Peach 29.88%
3 Jill Valentine 29.87%
6 Sheena Fujibayashi 22.68%
4 The Boss 22.40%
8 Ivy Valentine 20.96%
5 Celes Chere 17.44%
7 Princess Daisy 10.10%

The raw standings:

Extrapolated Rank Character Expected % Against Samus Division Seed Expected Seed
1 Samus Aran
50.00%
Spazer 1 1
2 Tifa Lockhart
49.51%
Limit 1 1
3 Solid Snake
46.89%
Patriot 1 1
4 Zelda
44.73%
Triforce 1 1
5 Sonic the Hedgehog
42.21%
Blast 1 1
6 Mega Man
41.89%
Destiny 2 1
7 Crono
41.56%
Time 1 1
8 Vincent Valentine
40.44%
Blast 5 2
9 Yoshi
40.18%
Patriot 6 2
10 Squall Leonhart
39.77%
Patriot 4 3
11 Dante
39.73%
Patriot 2 4
12 Aeris Gainsborough
38.58%
Triforce 2 2
13 Yuna
38.45%
Aeon 1 1
14 Ganondorf
38.35%
Blast 4 3
15 Sora
38.30%
Destiny 1 2
16 Auron
37.82%
Time 3 2
17 Riku
36.00%
Patriot 3 5
18 Bowser
35.37%
Time 4 3
19 Ryu
35.16%
Destiny 6 3
20 Princess Peach
33.62%
Limit 2 2
21 Luigi
33.61%
Blast 2 4
22 Jill Valentine
33.61%
Limit 3 3
23 Kirby
32.06%
Blast 3 5
24 Leon Kennedy
31.52%
Time 5 4
25 Zero
31.12%
Blast 7 6
26 Rikku
31.00%
Spazer 3 2
27 Sub-Zero
30.53%
Time 7 5
28 Kratos
30.16%
Destiny 3 4
29 Chun Li
30.11%
Aeon 3 2
30 Master Chief
29.96%
Time 2 6
31 KOS-MOS
29.59%
Triforce 3 3
32 Ryu Hayabusa
27.66%
Patriot 7 6
33 Gordon Freeman
27.63%
Destiny 5 5
34 Alucard
26.93%
Time 6 7
35 Lara Croft
26.77%
Aeon 2 3
36 Kairi
25.87%
Spazer 2 3
37 Sheena Fujibayashi
25.52%
Limit 6 4
38 Axel
25.24%
Destiny 7 6
39 The Boss
25.20%
Limit 4 5
40 Claire Redfield
24.79%
Spazer 7 4
41 The Prince of Persia
24.56%
Blast 6 7
42 Ivy Valentine
23.58%
Limit 8 6
43 Marle
23.32%
Triforce 7 4
44 Phoenix Wright
23.10%
Destiny 4 7
45 Tidus
22.25%
Patriot 5 7
46 Captain Falcon
21.48%
Time 8 8
47 Amy Rose
20.46%
Triforce 6 5
48 Ada Wong
20.22%
Spazer 4 5
49 Celes Chere
19.62%
Limit 5 7
50 Kasumi
18.83%
Aeon 6 4
51 Tingle
18.68%
Destiny 8 8
52 Terra Branford
18.38%
Triforce 4 6
53 Nidoran F
18.15%
Spazer 8 6
54 Joanna Dark
16.88%
Aeon 4 5
55 Soma Cruz
16.74%
Patriot 8 8
56 CATS
16.25%
Blast 8 8
57 Roll
15.91%
Aeon 8 6
58 Lenneth Valkyrie
15.50%
Spazer 6 7
59 Sarah Kerrigan
15.19%
Triforce 5 7
60 Cortana
13.42%
Aeon 5 7
61 Carmen Sandiego
12.45%
Triforce 8 8
62 Alyx Vance
12.02%
Aeon 7 8
63 Princess Daisy
11.36%
Limit 7 8
64 Jade
09.75%
Spazer 5 8